Gavin Newsom sits on top of Polymarket’s 2028 Democrat odds at about 36%, with Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 11%, Pete Buttigieg at 5%, and Josh Shapiro at 4.3%. That means the betting crowd expects the party of “democracy” to rally behind a China-tied San Francisco slickster and a socialist influencer who has spent years running cover for America’s enemies.
Newsom has openly courted Beijing, flying to China to glad-hand Xi Jinping, talk up “low‑carbon green growth,” and promise more trade, investment, and “partnership” with the regime that floods America with fentanyl precursors, spies on our soil, and builds coal plants like there’s no tomorrow.
He bragged that California and China “need” to work together and that his meetings could unlock more two-way deals, which is exactly how China’s Communist Party wants ambitious U.S. Democrats to think: treat them like a business partner, not the chief geopolitical threat to American workers, supply chains, and security.
AOC is the logical understudy for this act. Her entire Green New Deal worldview would shove American industry deeper into dependence on Chinese solar, batteries, and rare earths, while she attacks U.S. energy producers and pretends that outsourcing emissions to Chinese factories somehow “saves the planet.”
She poses as a champion of “the people,” but every one of her climate and redistribution schemes tilts the playing field toward the same Communist regime that uses slave labor, crushes dissent, and laughs as Washington kneecaps its own economy.
Polymarket doesn’t show a serious bench so much as a cartel lineup: Newsom and AOC at the top, Buttigieg limping along at 5%, and Shapiro hanging around under 5% while the house money still clusters around the California governor.
Traders are simply betting that the donor class and media will prop up whichever slick, camera-ready liar can smile for the cameras while pretending China is a “partner,” borders are optional, and any American who resists this agenda is the real extremist.